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Evaluating the comparative effectiveness and safety of repurposed drugs for COVID-19

E. TAN, D. DAWOUD, F. ARSHAD, J. LANE, J. WEAVER, T. DUARTE-SALLES, S. DUVALL, T. FALCONER, K. KOSTKA, K. LYNCH, M. MATHENY, C. REICH, P. RIJNBEEK, G. HRIPCSAK, M. SCHUEMIE, P. RYAN, D. PRIETO-ALHAMBRA and M. SUCHARD
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi: PMID:

Venous or arterial thrombosis and deaths among COVID-19 cases: a European network cohort study

Burn E, Duarte-Salles T, Fernandez-Bertolin S, Reyes C, Kostka K, Delmestri A, Rijnbeek P, Verhamme K and Prieto-Alhambra D
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00223-7 PMID:35576963

Background There are few data on the incidence of thrombosis among COVID-19 cases, with most research concentrated on hospitalised patients. We aimed to estimate the incidence of venous thromboembolism, arterial thromboembolism, and death among COVID-19 cases and to assess the impact of these events on the risks of hospitalisation and death.
Methods We conducted a distributed network cohort study using primary care records from the Netherlands, Italy, Spain, and the UK, and outpatient specialist records from Germany. The Spanish database was linked to hospital admissions. Participants were followed up from the date of a diagnosis of COVID-19 or positive RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 (index date) for 90 days. The primary study outcomes were venous thromboembolic events, arterial thromboembolic events, and death, all over the 90 days from the index date. We estimated cumulative incidences for the study outcomes. Multistate models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between venous thromboembolism or arterial thromboembolism occurrence and risks of hospitalisation or COVID-19 fatality.
Findings Overall, 909 473 COVID-19 cases and 32 329 patients hospitalised with COVID-19 on or after Sept 1, 2020, were studied. The latest index dates across the databases ranged from Jan 30, 2021, to July 31, 2021. Cumulative 90-day incidence of venous thromboembolism ranged from 0.2% to 0.8% among COVID-19 cases, and up to 4.5% for those hospitalised. For arterial thromboembolism, estimates ranged from 0.1% to 0.8% among COVID-19 cases, increasing to 3.1% among those hospitalised. Case fatality ranged from 1.1% to 2.0% among patients with COVID-19, rising to 14.6% for hospitalised patients. The occurrence of venous thromboembolism in patients with COVID-19 was associated with an increased risk of death (adjusted HRs 4.42 [3.07-6.36] for those not hospitalised and 1.63 [1.39-1.90] for those hospitalised), as was the occurrence of arterial thromboembolism (3.16 [2.65-3.75] and 1.93 [1.57-2.37]).
Interpretation Risks of venous thromboembolism and arterial thromboembolism were up to 1% among COVID-19 cases, and increased with age, among males, and in those who were hospitalised. Their occurrence was associated with excess mortality, underlying the importance of developing effective treatment strategies that reduce their frequency. Copyright (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.

Self-Reported Anxiety in Spain: A Gendered Approach One Year After the Start of COVID-19 Pandemic

C. JACQUES-AVINO, T. LOPEZ-JIMENEZ, M. BENNETT, L. MEDINA-PERUCHA, B. LEON-GOMEZ and A. BERENGUERA
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.3389/fpubh.2022.873891 PMID:35784235

The COVID-19 pandemic has an impact on mental health. However, there is little evidence on how different axes of social inequity influence mental health from a gender perspective and over time. Our aim is to analyze anxiety according to gender identity and other axes of social inequities (migration status, sexual orientation, age, and employment conditions) one year after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Spain. We conducted a cross-sectional study among adults living in Spain with an online survey from April 8 to May 28, 2021. The main variable was anxiety measured by Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale (GAD-7). Sex-stratified multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to assess the association between axes of inequities and anxiety. Our findings (N = 2,053) suggest that women have greater anxiety risk than men (35.2 vs. 28.2%, respectively). We observe in both genders that there is a clear age gradient, with anxiety decreasing as age increases; and that there is an association between worsening employment status and anxiety risk, although there is a difference between women by education level. Additionally, not having Spanish nationality is also associated with greater anxiety risk in women. In men, identifying as non-heterosexual is associated with a higher risk of anxiety. The axes of inequities have different effects according to gender identity. These differences in anxiety risk by population subgroup must be taken into account in order to sensibly and equitably treat the surge in mental health disorders brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Trends of Dispensed Opioids in Catalonia, Spain, 2007-19: A Population-Based Cohort Study of Over 5 Million Individuals

J. XIE, V. STRAUSS, G. COLLINS, S. KHALID, A. DELMESTRI, A. TURKIEWICZ, M. ENGLUND, M. TADROUS, C. REYES and D. PRIETO-ALHAMBRA
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.3389/fphar.2022.912361 PMID:35754470

Objective: To characterize the trend of opioid use (number of users, dispensations and oral morphine milligram equivalents) in Catalonia (Spain).Design, setting, and participants: This population-based cohort study included all individuals aged 18 years or older, registered in the Information System for Research in Primary Care (SIDIAP), which covers >75% of the population in Catalonia, Spain, from 1 January 2007, to 31 December 2019.Main exposure and outcomes: The exposures were all commercialized opioids and their combinations (ATC-codes): codeine, tramadol, oxycodone, tapentadol, fentanyl, morphine, and other opioids (dihydrocodeine, hydromorphone, dextropropoxyphene, buprenorphine, pethidine, pentazocine). The main outcomes were the annual figures per 1,000 individuals of 1) opioid users, 2) dispensations, and 3) oral morphine milligram equivalents (MME). Results were stratified separately by opioid types, age (5-year age groups), sex (male or female), living area (rural or urban), and socioeconomic status (from least, U1, to most deprived, U5). The overall trends were quantified using the percentage change (PC) between 2007 and 2019.Results: Among 4,656,197 and 4,798,114 residents from 2007 to 2019, the number of opioid users, dispensations and morphine milligram equivalents per 1,000 individuals increased 12% (percentage change: 95% confidence interval (CI) 11.9-12.3%), 105% (95% confidence interval 83%-126%) and 339% (95% CI 289%-390%) respectively. Tramadol represented the majority of opioid use in 2019 (61, 59, and 54% of opioid users, dispensations, and total MME, respectively). Individuals aged 80 years or over reported the sharpest increase regarding opioid users (PC: 162%), dispensations (PC: 424%), and MME (PC: 830%). Strong opioids were increasingly prescribed for non-cancer pains over the years.Conclusion: Despite the modest increase of opioid users, opioid dispensations and MME increased substantially, particularly in the older population. In addition, strong opioids were incrementally indicated for non-cancer pains over the years. These findings suggest a transition of opioid prescriptions from intermittent to chronic and weak to strong and call for more rigorous opioid stewardship.

Phenotype Algorithms for the Identification and Characterization of Vaccine-Induced Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia in Real World Data: A Multinational Network Cohort Study

A. SHOAIBI, G. RAO, E. VOSS, A. OSTROPOLETS, M. MAYER, J. RAMIREZ-ANGUITA, F. MALJKOVIC, B. CAREVIC, S. HORBAN, D. MORALES, T. DUARTE-SALLES, C. FRABOULET, T. LE CARROUR, S. DENAXAS, V. PAPEZ, L. JOHN, P. RIJNEEK, E. MINTY, T. ALSHAMMARI, R. MAKADIA, C. BLACKETER, F. DEFALCO, A. SENA, M. SUCHARD, D. PRIETO-ALHAMBRA and P. RYAN
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1007/s40264-022-01187-y PMID:35653017

Introduction Vaccine-induced thrombotic thrombocytopenia (VITT) has been identified as a rare but serious adverse event associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines. Objectives In this study, we explored the pre-pandemic co-occurrence of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia (TWT) using 17 observational health data sources across the world. We applied multiple TWT definitions, estimated the background rate of TWT, characterized TWT patients, and explored the makeup of thrombosis types among TWT patients. Methods We conducted an international network retrospective cohort study using electronic health records and insurance claims data, estimating background rates of TWT amongst persons observed from 2017 to 2019. Following the principles of existing VITT clinical definitions, TWT was defined as patients with a diagnosis of embolic or thrombotic arterial or venous events and a diagnosis or measurement of thrombocytopenia within 7 days. Six TWT phenotypes were considered, which varied in the approach taken in defining thrombosis and thrombocytopenia in real world data. Results Overall TWT incidence rates ranged from 1.62 to 150.65 per 100,000 person-years. Substantial heterogeneity exists across data sources and by age, sex, and alternative TWT phenotypes. TWT patients were likely to be men of older age with various comorbidities. Among the thrombosis types, arterial thrombotic events were the most common. Conclusion Our findings suggest that identifying VITT in observational data presents a substantial challenge, as implementing VITT case definitions based on the co-occurrence of TWT results in large and heterogeneous incidence rate and in a cohort of patints with baseline characteristics that are inconsistent with the VITT cases reported to date.

Adherence of long-term breast cancer survivors to follow-up care guidelines: a study based on real-world data from the SURBCAN cohort

P. SANTIA, A. JANSANA, I. DEL CURA, M. PADILLA-RUIZ, L. DOMINGO, J. LOURO, M. COMAS, T. SANZ, T. DUARTE-SALLES, M. REDONDO, B. IBANEZ, A. PRADOS-TORRES, X. CASTELLS and M. SALA
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1007/s10549-022-06563-x PMID:35290544

Purpose To identify adherence to follow-up recommendations in long-term breast cancer survivors (LTBCS) of the SURBCAN cohort and to identify its determinants, using real-world data. Methods We conducted a retrospective study using electronic health records from 2012 to 2016 of women diagnosed with incident breast cancer in Spain between 2000 and 2006 and surviving at least 5 years. Adherence to basic follow-up recommendations, adherence according to risk of recurrence, and overall adherence were calculated based on attendance at medical appointments and imaging surveillance, by year of survivorship. Logistic regression models were fitted to depict the association between adherence and its determinants. Results A total of 2079 LTBCS were followed up for a median of 4.97 years. Of them, 23.6% had survived >= 10 years at baseline. We estimated that 79.5% of LTBCS were overall adherent to at least one visit and one imaging test. Adherence to recommendations decreased over time and no differences were found according to recurrence risk. Determinants of better overall adherence were diagnosis in middle age (50-69 years old), living in a more-deprived area, having fewer years of survival, receiving primary treatment, and being alive at the end of follow-up. Conclusion We identified women apparently not complying with surveillance visits and tests. Special attention should be paid to the youngest and eldest women at diagnosis and to those with longer survival.

Validation of an electronic frailty index with electronic health records: eFRAGICAP index

F. ORFILA, L. CARRASCO-RIBELLES, R. ABELLANA, A. ROSO-LLORACH, F. CEGRI, C. REYES and C. VIOLAN
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1186/s12877-022-03090-8 PMID:35525922

Objective To create an electronic frailty index (eFRAGICAP) using electronic health records (EHR) in Catalunya (Spain) and assess its predictive validity with a two-year follow-up of the outcomes: homecare need, institutionalization and mortality in the elderly. Additionally, to assess its concurrent validity compared to other standardized measures: the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC). Methods The eFRAGICAP was based on the electronic frailty index (eFI) developed in United Kingdom, and includes 36 deficits identified through clinical diagnoses, prescriptions, physical examinations, and questionnaires registered in the EHR of primary health care centres (PHC). All subjects > 65 assigned to a PHC in Barcelona on 1st January, 2016 were included. Subjects were classified according to their eFRAGICAP index as: fit, mild, moderate or severe frailty. Predictive validity was assessed comparing results with the following outcomes: institutionalization, homecare need, and mortality at 24 months. Concurrent validation of the eFRAGICAP was performed with a sample of subjects (n = 333) drawn from the global cohort and the CFS and RISC. Discrimination and calibration measures for the outcomes of institutionalization, homecare need, and mortality and frailty scales were calculated. Results 253,684 subjects had their eFRAGICAP index calculated. Mean age was 76.3 years (59.5% women). Of these, 41.1% were classified as fit, and 32.2% as presenting mild, 18.7% moderate, and 7.9% severe frailty. The mean age of the subjects included in the validation subsample (n = 333) was 79.9 years (57.7% women). Of these, 12.6% were classified as fit, and 31.5% presented mild, 39.6% moderate, and 16.2% severe frailty. Regarding the outcome analyses, the eFRAGICAP was good in the detection of subjects who were institutionalized, required homecare assistance, or died at 24 months (c-statistic of 0.841, 0.853, and 0.803, respectively). eFRAGICAP was also good in the detection of frail subjects compared to the CFS (AUC 0.821) and the RISC (AUC 0.848). Conclusion The eFRAGICAP has a good discriminative capacity to identify frail subjects compared to other frailty scales and predictive outcomes.

Multimorbidity patterns, polypharmacy and their association with liver and kidney abnormalities in people over 65 years of age: a longitudinal study (vol 20, 206, 2020)

N. VILLEN, M. GUISADO-CLAVERO, S. FERNANDEZ-BERTOLIN, A. TRONCOSO-MARINO, Q. FOGUET-BOREU, E. AMADO, M. PONS-VIGUES, A. ROSO-LLORACH and C. VIOLAN
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1186/s12877-021-02567-2 PMID:35524180

Background rates of five thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndromes of special interest for COVID-19 vaccine safety surveillance: Incidence between 2017 and 2019 and patient profiles from 38.6 million people in six European countries

E. BURN, X. LI, K. KOSTKA, H. STEWART, C. REICH, S. SEAGER, T. DUARTE-SALLES, S. FERNANDEZ-BERTOLIN, M. ARAGON, C. REYES, E. MARTINEZ-HERNANDEZ, E. MARTI, A. DELMESTRI, K. VERHAMME, P. RIJNBEEK, S. HORBAN, D. MORALES and D. PRIETO-ALHAMBRA
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.1002/pds.5419 PMID:35191114

BackgroundThrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) has been reported among individuals vaccinated with adenovirus-vectored COVID-19 vaccines. In this study, we describe the background incidence of non-vaccine induced TTS in six European countries.
MethodsElectronic medical records from France, the Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom informed the study. Incidence rates of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST), splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE), and myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke, all with concurrent thrombocytopenia, were estimated among the general population of persons in a database between 2017 and 2019. A range of additional potential adverse events of special interest for COVID-19 vaccinations were also studied in a similar manner.
FindingsA total of 38611617 individuals were included. Background rates ranged from 1.0 (95% CI: 0.7-1.4) to 8.5 (7.4-9.9) per 100000 person-years for DVT with thrombocytopenia, from 0.5 (0.3-0.6) to 20.8 (18.9-22.8) for PE with thrombocytopenia, from 0.1 (0.0-0.1) to 2.5 (2.2-2.7) for SVT with thrombocytopenia, and from 1.0 (0.8-1.2) to 43.4 (40.7-46.3) for myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke with thrombocytopenia. CVST with thrombocytopenia was only identified in one database, with incidence rate of 0.1 (0.1-0.2) per 100000 person-years. The incidence of non-vaccine induced TTS increased with age, and was typically greater among those with more comorbidities and greater medication use than the general population. It was also more often seen in men than women. A large proportion of those affected were seen to have been taking antithrombotic and anticoagulant therapies prior to their event.
InterpretationAlthough rates vary across databases, non-vaccine induced TTS has consistently been seen to be a very rare event among the general population. While still remaining very rare, rates were typically higher among older individuals, and those affected were also seen to generally be male and have more comorbidities and greater medication use than the general population.

Factors Influencing Background Incidence Rate Calculation: Systematic Empirical Evaluation Across an International Network of Observational Databases

A. OSTROPOLETS, X. LI, R. MAKADIA, G. RAO, P. RIJNBEEK, T. DUARTE-SALLES, A. SENA, A. SHAOIBI, M. SUCHARD, P. RYAN, D. PRIETO-ALHAMBRA and G. HRIPCSAK
Aten Primaria.2022 Aug; 54(9):102437.doi:10.3389/fphar.2022.814198 PMID:35559254

Objective: Background incidence rates are routinely used in safety studies to evaluate an association of an exposure and outcome. Systematic research on sensitivity of rates to the choice of the study parameters is lacking.Materials and Methods: We used 12 data sources to systematically examine the influence of age, race, sex, database, time-at-risk, season and year, prior observation and clean window on incidence rates using 15 adverse events of special interest for COVID-19 vaccines as an example. For binary comparisons we calculated incidence rate ratios and performed random-effect meta-analysis.Results: We observed a wide variation of background rates that goes well beyond age and database effects previously observed. While rates vary up to a factor of 1,000 across age groups, even after adjusting for age and sex, the study showed residual bias due to the other parameters. Rates were highly influenced by the choice of anchoring (e.g., health visit, vaccination, or arbitrary date) for the time-at-risk start. Anchoring on a healthcare encounter yielded higher incidence comparing to a random date, especially for short time-at-risk. Incidence rates were highly influenced by the choice of the database (varying by up to a factor of 100), clean window choice and time-at-risk duration, and less so by secular or seasonal trends.Conclusion: Comparing background to observed rates requires appropriate adjustment and careful time-at-risk start and duration choice. Results should be interpreted in the context of study parameter choices.

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