Rationale and background: Paxlovid consists of nirmatrelvir (formerly PF-07321332), a potent severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) protease inhibitor, co-administered with a low dose of ritonavir, which acts as a pharmacokinetic enhancer, orally twice a day for 5 days. Paxlovid is indicated for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in adults who do not require supplemental oxygen and who are at increased risk for progression to severe COVID-19.
The safety of Paxlovid in individuals with hepatic or renal impairment is not known. Assessing the safety of Paxlovid among individuals with moderate or severe hepatic or renal impairment is a regulatory commitment to the EMA.
Research question and objectives:
• What is the safety profile of Paxlovid in patients with COVID-19 and moderate or severe hepatic impairment?
• What is the safety profile of Paxlovid in patients with COVID-19 and moderate or severe renal impairment?
For the population of individuals with moderate or severe hepatic impairment, the objectives are:
Primary objectives
• To assess the safety of Paxlovid relative to the comparator populations prescribed molnupiravir (or other comparable medications for COVID-19), where available, and to unexposed patients with COVID-19.
• To assess side effects resulting from drug overexposure due to impaired liver function and with regard to severity and frequency compared with comparator groups. Safety outcomes for primary objectives are all safety events in outpatient and inpatient settings, as available, including the following safety outcomes of special interest:
• Hepatic transaminase elevations, clinical hepatitis, or jaundice
• Severe vomiting, nausea, diarrhoea, or abdominal pain
• Dysgeusia, headache, or hypertension
• Anaphylactic reactions
Secondary objective
• To assess all safety events included in the primary objective that require hospitalisation or emergency department visits
For the population of individuals with moderate or severe renal impairment, the objectives are:
Primary objectives
• To assess the safety of Paxlovid relative to the comparator population prescribed molnupiravir (or other comparable medications for COVID-19), where available, and to unexposed patients with COVID-19.
• To assess side effects resulting from drug overexposure due to impaired renal function and with regard to severity and frequency compared with comparator groups.
Safety outcomes for primary objectives are all safety events in outpatient and inpatient settings, as available, including the following safety outcomes of special interest:
• Severe vomiting, nausea, diarrhoea, or abdominal pain
• Dysgeusia, headache, or hypertension
• Anaphylactic reactions
Secondary objective
• To assess all safety events included in the primary objective that require hospitalisation or emergency department visits
Study design: The study will employ a cohort design and will make secondary use of multiple sources of data from electronic health records and/or claims data in European countries. Data sources currently selected have the ability to capture Paxlovid exposure where the target populations, study outcomes, and key covariates can be ascertained. The feasibility component of this research programme will provide counts of the target population, separately for Paxlovid users, users of molnupiravir, users of other comparable medications (Section 9.1.2, Table 2), and the unexposed comparator group. Relevant patient characteristics will be presented for each exposure group in the target population to allow an assessment of the feasibility of comparative analyses. Molnupiravir, an antiviral with a similar recommended usage, will be used as an active comparator in the data sources for which it is available; other drugs may be incorporated as active comparators as more information becomes available. At the time of preparing this protocol, molnupiravir was not utilised, or its use was not captured by some of the data sources (eg, France and Information System for Research in Primary Care [SIDIAP] in Catalonia, Spain). Therefore, a second comparator group is included in the study: individuals in the target populations with COVID-19 who had not received Paxlovid, molnupiravir or other comparable medications, referred to as “unexposed patients”. The study period will start on 01 January 2022 (in alignment with regulatory authorisation and launch in Europe) and end based on the calendar period coverage at the time of the last data extraction.
Population: The target study populations are individuals with moderate or severe hepatic or renal impairment with COVID-19 exposed to Paxlovid or comparator drug molnupiravir or other comparable medications, and individuals unexposed to Paxlovid, molnupiravir, or other comparable medications (the unexposed comparison group).
Data sources: As of 30 September 2022, the MAH has confirmed that Paxlovid has been supplied to France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Slovenia, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (UK), initially or continuing under special government contracts, resulting in different distribution and reimbursement channels being used and subsequent challenges capturing its prescription and distribution. Current information is that prescribed/dispensed Paxlovid should be captured in existing electronic population data sources in France, Spain, and the UK. The Italian Medicines Agency (AIFA) established a national registry for Paxlovid and other antivirals to treat COVID-19. At the time of this writing, capture of Paxlovid dispensing/prescriptions in the existing electronic data sources commonly used for pharmacoepidemiological research in Italy is expected to be minimal. As long as the German government continues to cover payments for Paxlovid, it is also expected that Paxlovid prescriptions will not be captured in the German Statutory Health Insurance data sources.
The proposed data sources for this study are the French Administrative Healthcare Database (SNDS), SIDIAP (Catalonia, Spain), and Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum (CPRD Aurum) (UK). The UK OpenSAFELY data source and the AIFA patient registry will continue to be explored as potential supplementary data sources for this study.
Study size: All individuals meeting eligibility criteria during the study observation period will be included. As the summaries of product characteristics (SmPCs) caution (EU) or contraindicate (UK) use in severe hepatic or renal impairment, Paxlovid exposure in these populations is anticipated to be small.
Data analysis: Study data will be analysed as a cohort. Descriptive baseline characteristics will include tabulations of age, sex, comorbidities, selected concurrent medications, COVID-19 vaccination status, history of COVID-19, current COVID-19 status and setting of Paxlovid use (among Paxlovid users). Comparative analyses will be based on the estimation of risk ratios and risk differences. Comparative analyses will control for measured confounding within each data source. Aggregated results from each data source will be combined using meta-analytic techniques as numbers allow. If a study population is too small, analyses will be only descriptive; pooling of results from various data sources will be undertaken only if at least 3 independent data points are available.
Study to be conducted with the ConcePTION common data model. We plan to extract the data for both Paxlovid protocols (pregnancy & liver_renal populations) in a unique extraction (one in 2024 for interim report 1, another in 2025-26 for interim 2 and final report), but we present two different application forms for each protocol endorsed by PRAC (EMA).
Paxlovid is dispensed in a specific circuit in Spain, not in the usual electronic prescription.