“Background
The current COVID-19 vaccines include mRNA vaccines, non-replicating viral vector vaccines and traditional inactivated whole virus vaccines. All of them have demonstrated their effectiveness against confirmed COVID-19 infection in previous and ongoing clinical trials However, vulnerable populations, such as pregnant women, children, individuals living in nursing homes, those with cancer, autoimmune diseases, immunodeficiencies or organ transplant recipients were systematically excluded from these trials, limiting the available evidence regarding the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccines on these patients to retrospective observational studies, and small non-randomized trials with surrogate endpoints (e.g. antibody levels).
Objectives
To estimate coverage and the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-related outcomes in vulnerable populations, overall and by sex, age, baseline comorbidities, and socioeconomic status, using electronic health records from Catalonia, Spain.
1- To provide periodic estimates of vaccine coverage in predefined subgroups of population at risk of being excluded from the general vaccine campaigns (i.e individuals with mental disorder), stratified by vaccine type/brand, vaccine dose, sex, age groups, socioeconomic status, and nationality.
2- To assess the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in vulnerable population against COVID-19 related outcomes (COVID-19 infection, hospitalisation, intensive care admission, or death) in:
2.1- pregnant women and infants up to 12 months of age;
2.2- children and adolescents from the age of 5 to 19 years;
2.3- persons living with immunodeficient conditions, namely cancer, autoimmune conditions, primary immunodeficiencies, people living with HIV infection, organ transplant recipients or people taking immunosuppressive drugs;
2.4- persons living in nursing homes.
Methods
We will conduct a population-based matched cohort study using individual-level routinely-collected electronic health records (EHR) data from the Information System for Research in Primary Care (SIDIAP; www.sidiap.org) database in Catalonia mapped to the OMOP-CDM.
Study population
We will include all women with a pregnancy episode during the study period (mother-child linkage), children and adolescents, as well as those with history of cancer, immunodeficient conditions (HIV, autoimmune diseases, organ transplant recipients) and/or use of immunosuppressive drugs (including high chronic use of corticosteroids, biological and non-biological disease modifying drugs, antineoplastic drugs), persons living in nurse home residencies or persons with mental health conditions of any age, registered for at least 365 days in the SIDIAP database prior to the 27th of December 2020 (date of initiation of the vaccination in Spain) and up to December 2022 and December 2023.
Exposures
Four COVID-19 vaccines will be included: ChAdOx1-S, BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and Ad26.COV2.S.
Outcomes
The main outcomes to evaluate effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination will include: 1.SARS-CoV-2 infection will be defined as any confirmed infection identified by diagnostic codes and/or a positive RT-PCR or antigen test result, 2.COVID-19-related hospitalisation will be defined as a hospital admission (at least one night) where the individual had a positive RT-PCR test result or a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 over the 21 days prior to their admission up to the end of their hospital stay,3. COVID-19-related intensive care unit (ICU) admission in those with COVID-19 related hospitalisation, 4.COVID-19-related death will be defined as death (any cause) registered after a COVID-19-related hospitalisation or 28 days after a SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Covariates
Covariates to be considered in the analyses will include demographics, socioeconomic status, nationality and diagnosis of mental health condition (only for coverage), BMI, pre-existing comorbid conditions, history of COVID-19 infection (6 months previous), period of predominant SARS-CoV-2 variants, number of GP visits per year, pregnancy variables (gestational age at vaccination, parity, breastfeeding, maternal lifestyle behaviour factors (when available).
Follow-up
For individuals from the age of 5 and above follow up will be from their index date to occurrence of an event, end of pregnancy (for pregnancy cohort), death, or loss of visibility in the database (e.g., person leaving the practice in electronic health records data). For cohorts that had received a first vaccine dose, we also censored follow-up if a second dose was observed before 21 days for BNT162b2 and before 27 days for mRNA-1273 and ChAdOx1-S.
The index date for exposed children (up to 12 months of age) will be the date of maternal vaccination. Children will be followed from the index date until occurrence of an event of interest, exit from the database, death, end of pre-defined follow-up time (12 months after birth), or end of data availability, whichever comes first.
Statistical analysis
Vaccination uptake rate will be calculated as the number of persons receiving any COVID-19 vaccines in a certain population subgroup divided by all individuals eligible for vaccination in that group.
We will conduct a new user cohort study, to compare the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-related outcomes. We will use propensity score (PS) matching to minimise the risk of confounding. Vaccinated individuals will be matched in a 1:3 ratio (if sample size allows) with eligible non-vaccinated individuals with no prior history of COVID-19 infection in the past 3 months. Matching will be done taking into account age group, sex, calendar time, baseline comorbidities associated with increased risks of severe COVID-19 (e.g., obesity, diabetes, immunosuppression), and smoking. We will also use a large-scale, data-driven approach to identify additional potential confounders to be included in the PS.